Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Nickels vs Richard Muzaan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record6-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach83"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
Colorado Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike NickelsNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Richard MuzaanNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
11.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike NickelsRichard Muzaan
15501600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
6 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Richard Muzaan66%
Mike Nickels 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Richard Muzaan a 66% favorite over Mike Nickels in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Nickels's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1575), separated by just 0 points.

Mike Nickels finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Richard Muzaan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.