Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Rodriguez vs Murtaza Talha Ali

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record6-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
82,5"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamKHK MMA TEAM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike RodriguezNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Murtaza Talha AliNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.91
54%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.29
41%
Strike defense
30%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mike RodriguezMurtaza Talha Ali
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Murtaza Talha Ali55%
Mike Rodriguez 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Murtaza Talha Ali a 55% favorite over Mike Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Rodriguez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1586), separated by just 4 points.

Murtaza Talha Ali enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Rodriguez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Murtaza Talha Ali 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.