Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Santiago vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-14-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'8"
41,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Top Notch FitnessTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike SantiagoNow 1590
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
36%
Strike defense
52%
2.66
Takedown avg.
0.91
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
54%
Takedown defense
44%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Mike SantiagoRicky Turcios
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
11 (50%)
Submission
1 (8%)
4 (18%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Turcios66%
Mike Santiago 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Turcios a 66% favorite over Mike Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mike Santiago finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.