Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Shipman vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Gandra
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Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

9-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1669Good

Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73.5"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamFlavio Baiano Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike ShipmanNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Ryan GandraNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
13.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.70
TBD
Strike defense
81%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mike ShipmanRyan Gandra
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (56%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
5 (31%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gandra66%
Mike Shipman 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 66% favorite over Mike Shipman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Mike Shipman finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.