Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Van Arsdale vs Vladislav Yankovskiy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record11-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
205 lbsWeight187 lbs
TBDTeamAcademy MMA Minsk

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike Van ArsdaleNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Vladislav YankovskiyNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
1.06
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike Van ArsdaleVladislav Yankovskiy
15501600165020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (50%)
Submission
5 (45%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladislav Yankovskiy63%
Mike Van Arsdale 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladislav Yankovskiy a 63% favorite over Mike Van Arsdale in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1564), separated by just 4 points.

Mike Van Arsdale enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Van Arsdale finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Vladislav Yankovskiy 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.