Combat Edge Intelligence

Miles Johns vs Thomas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Marathon MMATeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Miles JohnsNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Thomas AlmeidaNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.38
Sig. strikes / min
4.84
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
67%
Strike defense
62%
1.29
Takedown avg.
0.17
27%
Takedown accuracy
14%
83%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Miles JohnsThomas Almeida
1700175020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
2 (13%)
Submission
4 (18%)
9 (60%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Miles Johns66%
Thomas Almeida 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 66% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1701), separated by just 1 points.

Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Miles Johns finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.