Combat Edge Intelligence

Miloš Janičić vs Tofiq Musayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72.4"Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
UFD GymTeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Miloš JaničićNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Tofiq MusayevNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Miloš JaničićTofiq Musayev
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
18 (78%)
8 (42%)
Submission
2 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Miloš Janičić60%
Tofiq Musayev 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Miloš Janičić a 60% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1706), separated by just 1 points.

Miloš Janičić enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Miloš Janičić finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 87%.

Miloš Janičić carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.