Combat Edge Intelligence

Miloš Janičić vs Mochamed Machaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72.4"Reach-
156 lbsWeight148 lbs
UFD GymTeamGym 23

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Miloš JaničićNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Mochamed MachaevNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Miloš JaničićMochamed Machaev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
8 (42%)
Submission
2 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mochamed Machaev67%
Miloš Janičić 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mochamed Machaev a 67% favorite over Miloš Janičić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1709), separated by just 3 points.

Miloš Janičić enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Miloš Janičić finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mochamed Machaev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.