Combat Edge Intelligence

Miloš Janičić vs Yan Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72.4"Reach73,0"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Miloš JaničićNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Yan CabralNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.24

Trajectory

Miloš JaničićYan Cabral
1650170020242025

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
8 (42%)
Submission
13 (87%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Miloš Janičić70%
Yan Cabral 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Miloš Janičić a 70% favorite over Yan Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1702), separated by just 4 points.

Miloš Janičić enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Miloš Janičić finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.