Mitchell McKee vs Said Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-0-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFight Club Akhmat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mitchell McKeeSaid Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mitchell McKee60%
Said Nurmagomedov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitchell McKee a 60% favorite over Said Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Said Nurmagomedov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1723), separated by just 2 points.
Mitchell McKee enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mitchell McKee finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.
Said Nurmagomedov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.