Combat Edge Intelligence

Mizuto Hirota vs Rolando Bedoya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-11-2Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'11"
67,5"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CaveTeamChute Boxe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mizuto HirotaNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Rolando BedoyaNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
41%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.36
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
59%
Takedown defense
33%
0.12
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mizuto HirotaRolando Bedoya
160016501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (21%)
8 (44%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rolando Bedoya66%
Mizuto Hirota 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rolando Bedoya a 66% favorite over Mizuto Hirota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1622), separated by just 4 points.

Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mizuto Hirota finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.

Rolando Bedoya carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.