Combat Edge Intelligence

Mochamed Machaev vs Tofiq Musayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-2-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach69"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gym 23TeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mochamed MachaevNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Tofiq MusayevNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mochamed MachaevTofiq Musayev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
18 (78%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (9%)
6 (33%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Mochamed Machaev79%
Tofiq Musayev 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mochamed Machaev a 79% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1706), separated by just 3 points.

Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mochamed Machaev finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.