Combat Edge Intelligence

Modestas Bukauskas vs Valentin Moldavsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record15-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamFedorTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Modestas BukauskasNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Valentin MoldavskyNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.26
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Modestas BukauskasValentin Moldavsky
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (15%)
Submission
3 (20%)
6 (30%)
Decision
10 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Modestas Bukauskas and Valentin Moldavsky within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1710), separated by just 3 points.

Valentin Moldavsky enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Modestas Bukauskas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.

Modestas Bukauskas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.