Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Siler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record33-26-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
TK MMA & FitnessTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohammad YahyaNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Steven SilerNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
6.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
43%
Strike defense
55%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0.47
20%
Takedown accuracy
21%
43%
Takedown defense
55%
0.50
Submission avg.
1.58

Trajectory

Mohammad YahyaSteven Siler
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
6 (19%)
2 (17%)
Submission
18 (56%)
3 (25%)
Decision
8 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammad Yahya66%
Steven Siler 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Yahya a 66% favorite over Steven Siler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1563), separated by just 2 points.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Steven Siler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mohammad Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Steven Siler 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.