Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammed Usman vs Tom Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
79"ReachTBD
237 lbsWeight205 lbs
War Room Kickboxing & MMATeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohammed UsmanNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Tom MurphyNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
39%
Strike accuracy
71%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.17
51%
Strike defense
85%
0.56
Takedown avg.
7.51
14%
Takedown accuracy
86%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.50

Trajectory

Mohammed UsmanTom Murphy
1600165020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (33%)
5 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammed Usman51%
Tom Murphy 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Usman a 51% favorite over Tom Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.

Tom Murphy enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Mohammed Usman finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tom Murphy 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.