Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammed Usman vs Tyrone Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record44-12-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'9"
79"ReachTBD
237 lbsWeight213 lbs
War Room Kickboxing & MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohammed UsmanNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Tyrone RobertsNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1473 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.56
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mohammed UsmanTyrone Roberts
165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
19 (43%)
2 (18%)
Submission
18 (41%)
5 (45%)
Decision
7 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammed Usman68%
Tyrone Roberts 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Usman a 68% favorite over Tyrone Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1635), separated by just 3 points.

Mohammed Usman finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tyrone Roberts 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.