Combat Edge Intelligence

Montel Jackson vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
75″Reach73"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Red Schafer MMATeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Montel JacksonNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Taylor LapilusNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
52%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
61%
Strike defense
63%
3
Takedown avg.
0.27
64%
Takedown accuracy
33%
68%
Takedown defense
77%
0.32
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Montel JacksonTaylor Lapilus
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (24%)
6 (40%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Lapilus52%
Montel Jackson 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 52% favorite over Montel Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1750), separated by just 6 points.

Montel Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Montel Jackson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Montel Jackson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.