Combat Edge Intelligence

Morgan Charrière vs Shin Haraguchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-1Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team Chapa QuenteTeamBrave

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Morgan CharrièreNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Shin HaraguchiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
50%
Strike accuracy
64%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
54%
Strike defense
48%
2.11
Takedown avg.
11.21
47%
Takedown accuracy
54%
83%
Takedown defense
0%
0.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Morgan CharrièreShin Haraguchi
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (62%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (24%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Morgan Charrière and Shin Haraguchi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1646), separated by just 2 points.

Morgan Charrière finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Shin Haraguchi 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.