Morgan Charrière vs Tucker Lutz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-12-1Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Chapa QuenteTeamGround Control
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Morgan CharrièreTucker Lutz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morgan Charrière51%
Tucker Lutz 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Charrière a 51% favorite over Tucker Lutz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tucker Lutz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
Tucker Lutz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Morgan Charrière finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tucker Lutz 67%.
Tucker Lutz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.