Combat Edge Intelligence

Morgan Charrière vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-1Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Chapa QuenteTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Morgan CharrièreNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Thiago TavaresNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
2
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
54%
Strike defense
63%
2.11
Takedown avg.
3.83
47%
Takedown accuracy
43%
83%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Morgan CharrièreThiago Tavares
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (62%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (14%)
Submission
15 (63%)
5 (24%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Morgan Charrière63%
Thiago Tavares 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Charrière a 63% favorite over Thiago Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Tavares's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Morgan Charrière finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.