Combat Edge Intelligence

Mostapha Al-Turk vs Patrick Vespaziani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
235 lbsWeight242 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamMMA Spirit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mostapha Al-TurkNow 1520
If they win+17→ 1537
If they lose-15→ 1505
Patrick VespazianiNow 1532
If they win+15→ 1547
If they lose-17→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
19%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mostapha Al-TurkPatrick Vespaziani
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani70%
Mostapha Al-Turk 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 70% favorite over Mostapha Al-Turk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1532), separated by just 12 points.

Mostapha Al-Turk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mostapha Al-Turk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.