Combat Edge Intelligence

Mostapha Al-Turk vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
235 lbsWeight240 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mostapha Al-TurkNow 1520
If they win+15→ 1535
If they lose-17→ 1503
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
19%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mostapha Al-TurkSascha Weinpolter
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter83%
Mostapha Al-Turk 17%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 83% favorite over Mostapha Al-Turk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mostapha Al-Turk's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1509), separated by just 11 points.

Mostapha Al-Turk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mostapha Al-Turk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.