Moti Horenstein vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-6-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Moti Horenstein MMATeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Moti Horenstein carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1457
If they lose-21→ 1409
If they win+21→ 1499
If they lose-27→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Moti HorensteinRegan Upshaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw71%
Moti Horenstein 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 71% favorite over Moti Horenstein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1430, a 48-point edge.
Moti Horenstein enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.