Motonobu Tezuka vs Tariq Ismail
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-15-6Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Secret Base DominateTeamBazooka Kickboxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Motonobu TezukaTariq Ismail
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tariq Ismail63%
Motonobu Tezuka 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Ismail a 63% favorite over Motonobu Tezuka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Motonobu Tezuka's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1599), separated by just 3 points.
Motonobu Tezuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Motonobu Tezuka finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Ismail 13%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.