Muhammed Lawal vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-10-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muhammed LawalNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov84%
Muhammed Lawal 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 84% favorite over Muhammed Lawal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muhammed Lawal's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1691), separated by just 2 points.
Muhammed Lawal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Muhammed Lawal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.