Muhammed Lawal vs Rasul Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-10-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKHK MMA Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muhammed LawalRasul Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rasul Magomedov70%
Muhammed Lawal 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 70% favorite over Muhammed Lawal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1699), separated by just 6 points.
Muhammed Lawal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rasul Magomedov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Muhammed Lawal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.