Combat Edge Intelligence

Muhsin Corbbrey vs Nonato Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
165 lbsWeight161 lbs
Champions Training CenterTeamGameness Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muhsin CorbbreyNow 1527
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515
Nonato JuniorNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.69
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Muhsin CorbbreyNonato Junior
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
11 (73%)
Submission
16 (84%)
1 (7%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Nonato Junior70%
Muhsin Corbbrey 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 70% favorite over Muhsin Corbbrey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muhsin Corbbrey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1525), separated by just 2 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Muhsin Corbbrey finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.