Combat Edge Intelligence

Mukhamad Vakhaev vs Oscar Cota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oscar Cota
mx

Oscar Cota

“Elevation”

11-3-0HeavyweightDWCS

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record11-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach41,0"
266 lbsWeight261 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamKimura Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mukhamad VakhaevNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Oscar CotaNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Mukhamad VakhaevOscar Cota
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
5 (38%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (15%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Mukhamad Vakhaev57%
Oscar Cota 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mukhamad Vakhaev a 57% favorite over Oscar Cota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mukhamad Vakhaev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Cota 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.