Combat Edge Intelligence

Mukhamed Berkhamov vs Rickson Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record11-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRickson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mukhamed BerkhamovNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Rickson GracieNow 1703
If they win+24→ 1727
If they lose-24→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mukhamed BerkhamovRickson Gracie
16501700175019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
9 (53%)
Submission
9 (82%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mukhamed Berkhamov58%
Rickson Gracie 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mukhamed Berkhamov a 58% favorite over Rickson Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rickson Gracie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.

Rickson Gracie enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Mukhamed Berkhamov finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rickson Gracie 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.