Combat Edge Intelligence

Murad Ramazanov vs Nate Diaz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record21-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
DagFighterTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Murad RamazanovNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Nate DiazNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.05
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
42%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.29

Trajectory

Murad RamazanovNate Diaz
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (24%)
4 (33%)
Submission
12 (57%)
4 (33%)
Decision
4 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Murad Ramazanov and Nate Diaz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Murad Ramazanov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Murad Ramazanov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nate Diaz 81%.

Nate Diaz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.