Combat Edge Intelligence

Murilo Bustamante vs Sedriques Dumas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-1Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian Top TeamTeamTeam Remedy BJJ & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Murilo BustamanteNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Sedriques DumasNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2
33%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
60%
Strike defense
55%
2.46
Takedown avg.
1.34
33%
Takedown accuracy
32%
55%
Takedown defense
33%
1.23
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Murilo BustamanteSedriques Dumas
1600165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (27%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas60%
Murilo Bustamante 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 60% favorite over Murilo Bustamante in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Murilo Bustamante's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Murilo Bustamante finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.