Murilo Rua vs Wes Schultz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-13-1Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Murilo RuaWes Schultz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Schultz66%
Murilo Rua 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 66% favorite over Murilo Rua in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Murilo Rua's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1622), separated by just 2 points.
Murilo Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Murilo Rua finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.