Combat Edge Intelligence

Máté Kertész vs Randy Mboyo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Máté Kertész
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Máté Kertész

“The Cold Blooded”

15-11-0WelterweightOKMMA

1539Average

Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach-
171 lbsWeight157 lbs
BSK CrossfightTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Máté KertészNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Randy MboyoNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Máté KertészRandy Mboyo
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo71%
Máté Kertész 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 71% favorite over Máté Kertész in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Máté Kertész's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Máté Kertész enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Máté Kertész finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Randy Mboyo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.