Máté Kertész vs Rustam Serbiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-11-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach69"
171 lbsWeight169 lbs
BSK CrossfightTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Máté KertészRustam Serbiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Máté Kertész and Rustam Serbiev within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1540), separated by just 1 points.
Máté Kertész enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Máté Kertész finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.