Combat Edge Intelligence

Naoki Inoue vs Tom Duquesnoy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-5-0Record16-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach37,5"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Naoki InoueNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
Tom DuquesnoyNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
3.83
35%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.30
61%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0.42
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
60%
Takedown defense
47%
2.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Naoki InoueTom Duquesnoy
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
9 (43%)
Submission
4 (25%)
10 (48%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Naoki Inoue60%
Tom Duquesnoy 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Naoki Inoue a 60% favorite over Tom Duquesnoy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1710), separated by just 0 points.

Naoki Inoue finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Tom Duquesnoy 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.