Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathanael Woods vs Shane Howell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record13-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamR-1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nathanael WoodsNow 1525
If they win+25→ 1550
If they lose-23→ 1502
Shane HowellNow 1538
If they win+15→ 1553
If they lose-17→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nathanael WoodsShane Howell
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (54%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathanael Woods62%
Shane Howell 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathanael Woods a 62% favorite over Shane Howell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Howell's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1538), separated by just 13 points.

Shane Howell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shane Howell 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.