Navajo Stirling vs Phil Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record24-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Navajo StirlingPhil Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Navajo Stirling75%
Phil Davis 25%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 75% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Davis's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1739), separated by just 5 points.
Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Navajo Stirling finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Phil Davis 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.