Combat Edge Intelligence

Navajo Stirling vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record25-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Navajo StirlingNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
54%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.86
Takedown avg.
0.62
0%
Takedown accuracy
28%
71%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Navajo StirlingZak Cummings
15501600165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (48%)
4 (40%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Navajo Stirling71%
Zak Cummings 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 71% favorite over Zak Cummings in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zak Cummings's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1739), separated by just 5 points.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Navajo Stirling finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.