Combat Edge Intelligence

Neil Grove vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Grove

Neil Grove

“Goliath”

12-8-1HeavyweightBFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

12-8-1Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
TBDReach78″
264 lbsWeight247 lbs
Daigaku Karate Kai LondonTeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neil GroveNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Raphael PessoaNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
0%
Strike accuracy
27%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
100%
Strike defense
42%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
14.29
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Neil GroveRaphael Pessoa
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Neil Grove and Raphael Pessoa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1566), separated by just 9 points.

Neil Grove enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Neil Grove finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.