Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Catone vs Sedriques Dumas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Catone
us

Nick Catone

“The Jersey Devil”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nick Catone MMA & FitnessTeamTeam Remedy BJJ & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick CatoneNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Sedriques DumasNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
2
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
63%
Strike defense
55%
3.71
Takedown avg.
1.34
44%
Takedown accuracy
32%
83%
Takedown defense
33%
0.48
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Nick CatoneSedriques Dumas
160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas66%
Nick Catone 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 66% favorite over Nick Catone in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Catone's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Catone finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.