Nick Ertl vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1552
If they lose-17→ 1520
If they win+17→ 1543
If they lose-15→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nick ErtlNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze60%
Nick Ertl 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 60% favorite over Nick Ertl in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Ertl's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1526), separated by just 11 points.
Nick Ertl enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nick Ertl finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.