Nick Newell vs Wilson Lopshire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record7-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fighting Arts AcademyTeam Garra Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
If they win+24→ 1684
If they lose-24→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nick NewellWilson Lopshire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wilson Lopshire63%
Nick Newell 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Wilson Lopshire a 63% favorite over Nick Newell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.
Nick Newell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Wilson Lopshire enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Nick Newell finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Lopshire 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.