Nick Pica vs Tafon Nchukwi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
Team BlackTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nick PicaTafon Nchukwi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Pica60%
Tafon Nchukwi 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Pica a 60% favorite over Tafon Nchukwi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tafon Nchukwi's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.
Nick Pica finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.