Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Roehrick vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
41,0"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick RoehrickNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Tyson PedroNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.31
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
18%
Strike accuracy
59%
6.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
44%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Nick RoehrickTyson Pedro
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
5 (50%)
5 (56%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Pedro55%
Nick Roehrick 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Pedro a 55% favorite over Nick Roehrick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Roehrick's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1614), separated by just 4 points.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Roehrick finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.