Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Rossborough vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-21-1Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
265 lbsWeight236 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite Performance GymTeamNKSW Holy Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick RossboroughNow 1524
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1535
If they win+15→ 1550
If they lose-17→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
37%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Nick RossboroughŁukasz Brzeski
15501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
14 (54%)
Submission
2 (22%)
5 (19%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Łukasz Brzeski66%
Nick Rossborough 34%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Brzeski a 66% favorite over Nick Rossborough in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1535), separated by just 11 points.

Nick Rossborough enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Rossborough finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.