Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Rossborough vs Patrick Vespaziani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-21-1Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
265 lbsWeight242 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite Performance GymTeamMMA Spirit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick RossboroughNow 1524
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
Patrick VespazianiNow 1529
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nick RossboroughPatrick Vespaziani
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
14 (54%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (19%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani66%
Nick Rossborough 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 66% favorite over Nick Rossborough in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1529), separated by just 5 points.

Nick Rossborough enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Rossborough finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.