Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Urso vs Pedro Nobre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson's MMA AcomaTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick UrsoNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Pedro NobreNow 1587
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
45%
Strike accuracy
30%
5.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.16
36%
Strike defense
35%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nick UrsoPedro Nobre
16002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
3 (30%)
Submission
6 (27%)
5 (50%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Urso58%
Pedro Nobre 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Urso a 58% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.

Nick Urso finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.