Nicolas Dalby vs Sam Patterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-1Record14-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'4"
74"Reach78"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rumble SportsTeamTeam Crossface
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nicolas DalbySam Patterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Patterson63%
Nicolas Dalby 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Patterson a 63% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolas Dalby's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1729), separated by just 0 points.
Nicolas Dalby finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Sam Patterson 93%.
Sam Patterson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.