Combat Edge Intelligence

Niko Samsonidse vs Reza Madadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Reza Madadi

Reza Madadi

“Mad Dog”

14-6-0LightweightUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Spitfire Gym BerlinTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Niko SamsonidseNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Reza MadadiNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
TBD
Takedown defense
89%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Niko SamsonidseReza Madadi
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
7 (54%)
Submission
8 (62%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Samsonidse70%
Reza Madadi 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 70% favorite over Reza Madadi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Niko Samsonidse finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Reza Madadi 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.