Nikolay Aleksakhin vs Trevor Prangley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-11-0Record34-11-2
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alexander Nevsky (Stary Oskol)TeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nikolay AleksakhinTrevor Prangley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikolay Aleksakhin70%
Trevor Prangley 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikolay Aleksakhin a 70% favorite over Trevor Prangley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1686), separated by just 2 points.
Nikolay Aleksakhin finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Prangley 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.